The 47.5% Probability: How Prediction Markets Became a Geopolitical Weapon
On May 21, 2024, a prediction market on Polymarket assigned a 47.5% probabili...
On May 21, 2024, a prediction market on Polymarket assigned a 47.5% probabili...
When Donald Trump signed his latest AI executive order on the morning of May...
Evidence suggests that when mainstream media stays silent on a tenth night of...
Arbitraging culture before the code catches up. Hook On July 21, Alibaba’s Qw...
A few days ago, a story rippled through my Twitter feed: 'SpaceX AI Announces...
On July 21, the U.S. State Department issued a Global Security Alert for...
I spent the summer of 2017 hunched over solidity code in a Seattle basement,...
Hook Over the past seven days, a single data point has rattled the macro...
I remember sitting in a cramped Moscow apartment in the winter of 2020, huddl...
Hook 一份来自ZDNet Korea的短讯揭示了CXL生态的深层裂变——三星、SK海力士、美光集体放弃了自研CXL控制器。这不是技术能力不足,而是对价值创造
54% yes. That’s the market’s current price for Iran launching a military acti...
Over the past seven Julys, Shiba Inu has danced a familiar rhythm—a price sur...
The market is not rational; it is resistant. Last week, Anthropic announced...
In 2014, the Electronic Transactions Association (ETA) predicted a wave of...
The first signal hit my terminal at 3:47 AM Madrid time—a Telegram ping from ...
The whiskey glass was sweating on the bar in Prague’s Old Town when my phone...
For decades, the Strait of Hormuz has been a chokepoint of steel and oil, a...
The prediction market whispered 21%. It was a cold, probabilistic number—the...
84% of institutional executives rank asset tokenization as a top strategic...
On August 15, 2024, the US State Department upgraded its travel advisory for...
The blockchain doesn't lie about energy—yet the narrative around AI compute...
The collapse wasn’t the missile – it was the margin call. When Crypto Briefin...
The China Academy of Information and Communications Technology (CAICT) releas...
Hook: Price Anomaly Bitcoin was flat for three hours after the IRGC statement...
Chasing the alpha through the fog of ICO whispers — but this time, the fog is...
The market yawned. AVAX barely flinched. That’s your first clue. FIFA announc...
A single report from Crypto Briefing just dropped: Ukrainian drone strikes ha...
UBS Asset Management's Kevin Zhao is preparing to short U.S. Treasuries. The...
The ledger remembers what the promoters forgot. On a quiet Wednesday, the new...
A routine military exercise in Eastern Europe makes headlines. The predictabl...
Extreme Fear
Market Sentiment
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
Block reward halving event
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
92 million ARB released
Team and early investor shares released
Bitcoin Season